In or out?

[Diamond Dog]

an economic union in which 23 of the 27 members are bankrupt

No, they're not.

Oh don't ask The Bear for facts, per-leeze....

[yomptepi]

How many of them are running a current account surplus then?

[Diamond Dog]

How many of them are running a current account surplus then?

Don't you know then?

[Hugh]

Roy Harper on Brexit:

Three days before the referendum vote, I wrote to a good friend of mine who is a continental European citizen to inform him of my view of the politics involved in Brexit, and to tell him just how conflicted I was about it. He had previously attended my birthday gathering at a local restaurant (12/6/16, eleven days before the vote took place), where we’d discussed it. In the letter I say a couple of times that what I’ve written should never be published. However, as I think that the world has now significantly moved on, whether it is published or not is irrelevant. It might even be a good way of starting the blog up again after a four year ‘hiatus’. Please note that this letter was written on the 20th June 2016. What follows the letter is a passage on what I’ve thought since then.

20th June 2016

Dear xxxxxx,

I felt your disappointment with my attitude to the Brit referendum on my birthday (12/6/16). I feel that I owe you an apology for some of the language I used and an explanation. I’ve also re-examined my opinions and the reasons for them.

Basically, my position has been ambivalent. Eventually I’ve found myself sitting on the fence. I usually write essays about issues like this, but I haven’t ever really been able to nail down one opinion on it. At least not an opinion I can espouse without referring to the validity of the opposite point of view. I have always thought, in any case, that the ‘remain’ side will win. I still think that.

First off, I’d just like to say that at the beginning of this it seemed like a different proposition entirely to the one that has emerged over the last year. It began about a year before the last British General Election when Cameron, in order to placate the right wing (OUT)-Eurosceptics in his own party (+ UKIP), while also keeping faith with his coalition (IN)-Liberal Democrat partners, muted the idea of an in-out referendum to be held in the forthcoming Parliament. He thought that the likelihood would be that he would again be in a coalition with them. Eventually, to solidify the deal, everyone was promised that there would be a referendum on EU membership.

At that point, everyone quickly calculated that with his c.60 Lib Dem MPs + the europhiles in the Labour opposition, they should easily be able to control the terms and progress of any referendum. After all, in parliament itself the vote would have been approx 60/40 in favour of remaining in the EU. Still is.

Then fate dealt a couple of unexpected hands. The Labour Party, which had effectively been born in Scotland, was seriously undermined in Scotland after it had supported the ‘No’ campaign in the Scottish Referendum, (18th September 2014, in which a ‘no’ vote meant that “no”, you didn’t want Scotland to become independent). Tens of thousands of Scots who had previously been Labour supporters joined the Scottish National Party in the weeks following the victory of the ‘no’ vote: obviously feeling they’d been cheated out of independence by the Westminster based Labour Party.

In the UK General Election, seven or eight months later, The Scottish National Party experienced record swings of over 30% from the Labour Party when they won 56 of the 59 Scottish seats in Westminster. This changed the balance of power in Britain overnight.

The Conservatives won the election outright over a very much weakened Labour Party and no longer had to form a coalition. What this has meant, along with many other things, such as the fact that there is no longer an effective opposition, is that the eurosceptic wing of the Conservative Party were suddenly in a position where they could force the promised referendum with no effective questions raised, or effective opposition to it within Parliament. Without fear of being challenged by any parliamentary vote.

The irony is that if the Labour Party had won the election, the referendum would have been buried, instantly.

What has happened since then is that the UKIP Party, with over 4 million votes but only one member of parliament, has found itself virtually without representation. The fact that it is roughly allied to the Tory right wing isn’t as important as the fact that the 3rd biggest Party of voters in the UK is marginalised. Visibly, and completely. Whatever you think of them or their views, this is a long way from being democratic. When 4 million people are virtually disenfranchised, the feedback grows to proportions not experienced since suffrage first became an urgent issue in c.1830.

This feeling has also now spread to the rank and file of the northern working people, a great many of whom feel that they are no longer represented in the way they were only a year ago. The distance between themselves and Westminster was at best tenuous. That gap has lately become as wide as Hadrian’s Wall was from Rome in 420 AD.

For many of them, this vote is their one chance to effect what parliament does. For many, it’s a chance in a lifetime. For a majority in some places, they have a feeling of being overrun. For many of them, their vote will not be about anything other than total disillusionment. Disillusionment with politics, with the system, with Westminster and with Europe. For a lot of them, the perception is that things can’t get any worse. I was out of order on my birthday in disparaging the religious invasion, but we have to stand by the facts. I’d also like to make it clear, however, that we’ve brought it on ourselves, not least by former colonisation and war.

I will never be a racist. That is anathema to me. I have written many anti-racist songs and poems. And for instance, I really enjoy the West Indian contingent in our country. They are special, wonderful people who have brought a lot to us. I’m pro-immigration, and that’s one thing in this morass that makes it even more complex. You have pro-immigration Brexiteers and anti-immigration remainers, and all shades in between, which muddies the waters considerably. I.e., there are a dozen camps and more, with no leaders.

Cameron has been mauled by the press in the last few days because the general and widespread perception of him is that he can’t be trusted. He is constantly undermined in front of millions of TV viewers. Osbourne is a very slippy character, Farage is totally embarrassing, Johnson is a likeable buffoon, Gove is a shy boy geek-cum-zealot, and Corbyn is a closet Brexiteer who is trying to convince himself that ‘remain’ is the best ship to be sailing on. There are NO outstanding leaders with outstanding messages. (That the government of 1948 who founded the Welfare State was much more honourable is without question). The public have their own view, which is often clouded by the facts of their own local reality.

The bureaucratic output from the EU is gigantic. It’s a mass of confusing red tape and directives that are in the main nothing short of dreams, coming from 27 different sets of dreamers. The cacophony is truly amazing. There are mega questions about it’s authenticity, including just how democratic it is.

The sovereignty we’ve been losing for decades follows on from this. This was illustrated for me when I saw some cynical ‘Inners’ in boats on the Thames haranguing some working trawler men who were protesting to get their jobs back. To be allowed to fish waters their forebears had fished for long centuries before sovereignty was removed from their shores and islands. Which could hardly be described as a retrograde step. In effect, the Austrians and Czechs are land locked and are short on cod, but with all due respect, the French trawler fleet has access to the Atlantic while the German trawler fleet has access to the Baltic and beyond.

There are hundreds of different versions of this bound up in expensive red tape. In effect, in my own opinion, we gave away far too much sovereignty far too quickly. Perhaps the other original 6 did too. We needed to move at a pace where adjustments could be gradually accepted as they naturally became facts of life. Please read that sentence twice. In the rush to bury the holocaust, we are stripping the fabric of our culture down to the bone, in the hope that new and more acceptable flesh will grow in place of what has been shredded.

The young can’t wait, I understand that, but the world is different than that. No one can trust those who have played the system for decades and might want to alter the fine print in ways that are partial. In the history of human culture, this is a common thread, and the young are the most vulnerable (to the sharp practice of the state). In the event, no one is being allowed any time in any case, because of the sheer pressure of people.. And I hate to say this, but there’s a cynic in every stride.

With respect to the facts, there were over 300,000 net immigrants into the UK this last year. This figure is roughly split between those from the commonwealth and those from the EU. The UK isn’t the only country in Europe that this has happened to over the last decade. This is the greatest migration of people humanity has yet recorded, including the one post WW2. What this means for the UK is that yes, there’s a decent supply of nurses, doctors and other skilled people, but there is nowhere near the growth in infrastructure needed to accommodate a new city the size of Nottingham arriving every year. Infrastructure is THE most important factor in all of the pressure being put on working people right now. I cannot stress that enough.

When you can’t even see a doctor after you’ve waited all day, or been left on a trolley in a corridor, (in some cases to die), you know that things have changed, and not for the better. Perhaps just as importantly, the new population will work for often much less than the average British worker. The average middle-aged British worker, meanwhile, has many more ‘overheads’, and can’t work for lower wages. In other words, millions of lives are now in the process of being changed, and many will never know the standard of living they had, ever again.

Put that together with the fact that most immigrants are younger, and you have a problem. The UK should be welcoming them, and in many instances, thankfully it does. But they have no idea just how they’re effecting the UK population, even though they help us in many ways, including by paying tax. And it’s the fault of successive governments that the infrastructure and many of its social services, (including the police), are no longer fit for purpose for its indigenous population.

But problems are compounded when large numbers of this new population don’t speak the language. This is again intensified by the fact that they are culturally hundreds of years adrift. So far adrift in fact, that many of them are appalled by our way of life, and seek to keep their children from being any part of it. Many of them are horrified by us. What this means is that there’s a big underclass of people living in the UK who have absolutely no desire to be part of British society.

They have virtually taken whole cities over. They have made some of these cities bright, colourful and desirable, but for different classes of people at different times of the day or night, there are no go areas within them. Plus they contain people being brought up in them who are fifth columners. 5th Columners, some of whom will grow up actively seeking to destroy elements of the original tolerant culture they don’t agree with.

There are undercover schools where no English is spoken. There are courts administering Sharia Law, where British law is absent, meaningless and incomprehensible. Not, in my own recent experience, that it isn’t in any case, but what we have in many instances are lives being lived in circumstances that we grew out of six or seven hundred years ago, and at the very latest haven’t experienced at all since the mid to late 17th Century.

Everything I detest about organised religion has come to haunt me in the twilight of my life. Organised authoritative dogma should now be on the wane. Instead, in a new age of flawed reason, it flourishes. This is indeed a bitter pill to swallow. The propagation of this latest wave of superstition is ensured by the information age. It’s long become the ‘armed superstition’ I’ve had to refer to for at least the last 28 years. (NB. I’ve been anti organized superstition for about 70 years).

We should be welcoming this huge exodus in the traditional human way. The vast majority are not visibly enemies. They need shelter. They have only themselves to give; but what does this really mean for the places they land in/on?

On the other side of all of this, a brilliant young woman was murdered on the street a few days ago by someone calling himself ‘Death to traitors, freedom for Britain’. I didn’t know of her beforehand, but she was obviously a shining example of humanity. I would love to have known her. So would millions of others. The knowledge of her and what she did will change minds in this referendum. There’s a great sorrow in this. I’m sure that there are not many in the nation who don’t feel that. What a wonderful soul. A life lived in charity. An example to us all.

So, in summary, it’s not so much that I’m disappointed not to be able to at least live a part of my life in the country I think of as my home, but that that country has truly become a country I no longer recognise. Obviously, things change over a lifetime, but I’m now totally estranged from the country my mother must have known so lovingly. I carry a great sadness of the passing of practically everything I knew. I accept that this is one of the consequences of age, but to be this alienated is truly signal.

When you catch me speaking like I did on my birthday, it’s because some of these things have been shaken and stirred. Disturbed. I know in my heart of hearts that I HAVE to be open to the greater possibilities of union with others, and that feckless nationalism exposes the very worst emotions and delusional mass behaviour. So although I totally side with my overrun northern countrymen, I will stop short of ever publicising my views because I would want to do the best for my grandchildren, (one of whom I know has a different view than my own). In the best of circumstances, the pain being felt by my older contemporaries will be short lived compared with the potential of sunnier uplands that might be experienced by unified generations who may be able to combat climate change, population growth and armed superstition with tools and knowledges we do not yet possess. (Or at the very least, are not yet willing to acknowledge). In my head, I’m a remainer, but in my heart I’m a raging Brexiteer. This information is for you and for you only. It will never be published.

I want to be able to visit jazz cellars in Soho again for pennies. I want to spend days dreaming by the north western sand dunes. Guitar in hand, watching a red sky in the evening. I want to hitch to the Nordcap again and see the cotoneaster on the Arctic Circle. That’s all gone.

The King is dead, long live the King.

Sincerely,

Roy 20th June 2016

………………………………………………………………………….

Since then, because a million old men and women and a million other disaffected and pressured citizens voted to come out of a remote entity that’s irritated them for decades, “A re-vote is necessary. And we’ll fix it just as soon as we god damn can. Right!?” – To paraphrase one young conservative MP.

The EU ‘experiment’ is just that. It isn’t the same as a federation of states that have grown out of nothing, expanded, populated themselves, and communicated in the main in one language for two or three hundred years. It’s a collection of 27 different nationalities, all speaking their own separate languages (23+dialects) and having often hugely different cultural identities, smashed together overnight after warring with each other for time immemorial.

It’s a bold dream built on the ashes of two world wars and an expression of hope engendered by the horrors populations experienced because of those wars. The first of those wars started because A Serb killed an Austrian Prince, the second because in the interlude after the first one, the German people were left to suffer while the rest of Europe drew breath and paid no attention, until it was too late, to an Austrian corporal from the first war who never understood why he should have been on the losing side. The fact that after he grabbed power, he was quite quickly corrupted by it and descended into deep criminality isn’t the point.

The point is that Germany (then West Germany) and France had to end the European civil wars by joining forces in a European block with 4 others, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg, where checks and balances would preserve the peace until such time that war was not only a distant memory but also an anathema. That sentiment is well on the way to being established, but we are not quite there yet.

The Euro block has since exploded in numbers since 1975, and is now a very disparate group. The countries which in some way were involved in the Industrial Revolution that began in the 18th Century have the wealth of both industrial culture and resources, while the countries that were still largely rural at the beginning of the 20th Century have comparatively agrarian cultures and fewer resources. There are differing shades in between. They can be put into the obligatory table with Germany on top and Greece at the bottom. The attempt to share wealth between them is fraught with difficulty. Perhaps the wholly natural siesta culture still doesn’t easily equate with the snappy lunch break further north. And the richer north is hard pushed to totally support a perceived slower pace further south. Spain is now producing cars and corporations, but huge swathes of the young are out of work. Italy is a fantastic place. The ideals are lofty and admirable, but suspicion lurks in the reality. Is everyone in the EU pulling their weight? More importantly perhaps, is it even possible for everyone to pull, per capita, anything like the same ‘weight’?

The bureaucracy is huge. Does it have to be? There is cacophony in the great chambers. The ship sails simply because it was put to sea in 1975, but lately 27 times the deckhands are needed to steady it. But are they? Really? It’s an incredibly cumbersome raft, from which directives spring with good intention but often unintended destiny, perhaps. Not always of course. The chambers have honourable purpose, but their elite seem to live in theory, disconnected with the actual act of practice, and life, on the ground.

When I first saw the pictures of Alan Kirdi, the Syrian boy washed up on the Turkish beach, I was horrified to the core. Like most other people, I was very angry and incredibly sad at the same moment. Who could have put him in so much danger? If he’d come to my door, I’d have welcomed him, got to know him, taught him, made him laugh, opened the world for him, or tried to. So would millions of others. We adopted our cat. She came to the door. The second time she came, we let her in. She had no home. That was sixteen years ago. That boy could be growing up with us, but a boy cannot be a temporary guest. He comes with a responsibility to take care of him and all his needs across the long childhood. I’d have passed on before he knew me; and then there are the facts of who he might be attached to, and what other responsibilities I might inherit here in the twilight. But I’ll never forget him.

As I said above, he’s part of the biggest migration of people in the history of humanity. Torn from their homes by poverty, need, war, ambition and hope. So how do we fix it for everyone?

And what is going to happen with Brexit? There have been clues for months now, and the whole world continues to opine, but what kind of things can we begin to assume from these clues, and from the High Court argument in front of their 12 Supreme Court Lordships?

Well, Boris Johnson, David Davies and Liam Fox are big enough clues in themselves. Then there are certain new departments being created, including a ministry of ‘Foreign Affairs’, ministers and civil servants who are in the process of being posted, bolstered or seen scurrying. There are plenty of clues.

I have to make notes these days. I recorded (in sound) and made notes on the Brexit high court procedure/argument. I think that possibly it’s too full of quotations of precedent and etc., to be all that entertaining, and there are reams of it, but there were enlightening moments that opened up vistas or exposed someone’s real opinion, and indeed, finally, it wasn’t hard to surmise that in the end, it will come back to parliament for parliamentary approval. And subsequently that the boys and girls will finally give Brexit the go-ahead, regardless of what most totalitarianist parliamentarians thought they would automatically be able to do to change the verdict of the people six months ago.

Personally, I think that Brexit is the best thing that could have happened to the UK in the circumstances. There will still be business done between the UK and Europe. Lots of it. It might drop for a couple of years after Brexit, but in the long term, both parties will be better off. There’s a lot of hoo-ha. No one will have to leave either jurisdiction because of nationality if they’re already bona fide worker/members. The EU might splinter further, even though the Germans, and maybe even the French, will expend time, energy and cash keeping the status quo in place.

Let’s not be silly though, the EU will not completely splinter. It’ll probably move into a better shape in a couple of generations, when, as above, ‘…we’ve moved at a pace where adjustments have been gradually accepted as they naturally become facts of life’. It was a mess in 1975, when the first GB IN/OUT referendum was held, and it still is. In my song of the time, ‘Referendum’, which was satirical, I said that the average blue-blooded, and perhaps unwitting ‘conservative’ lemming had arrived in Brussels ‘..forgetting what he’d come for and in patronizing tones… gave them all his clothes and bread to stop their moans and groans’. I still think the same thing, although this time the even more conservative population, on both sides, has called the tune.. I’ve given up bothering with ‘left’ and ‘right’. As has been previously noted, equality and personal freedom are mutually exclusive. The goal has to be understanding, and fairness in the moment.

Either way, it’s not going to make much difference. Yes, I’m going to lose some wages for a while, and maybe I’ll have to cut back a bit and work a bit harder, but the opportunities for younger people will soon be manifold. Yes, there were EU advantages, but there was far too much waste, and too much loss. The loss I always felt the most was one of self-determination and self-worth. I have nothing in common with the drones of Brussels. They are here to impose, not just on GB, but on everyone, and they are an imposition. They are a body without a heart. A body that cannot afford to have a heart. Seemingly better for the smaller countries at the present time. In many ways, I wish that I was poor again, and that I knew exactly how many drachmas were in my pocket on the deserted beach in Corfu, but we must look ahead. In 1965, when I began recording, the world population was 3.2 billion people. It’s now 7.3 billion.. more than doubled. The beaches on Corfu…well.. it was a dream. I’m lucky that I’ve had so many.

I didn’t vote. I counted myself out. I’m sorry for the young people that the vote didn’t seem to happen in the way a lot of them wanted it to, but I can tell them all, and with a deal of confidence, that if you have the vision and the energy, it’ll be a great ride. And in the end it won’t really matter. The two sides, (the EU and the UK) will continue to threaten each other with what they will or won’t give each other for the next couple of years. In the end, they’ll both say they did the right thing, and in ten years time it wont have made any difference to anyone. Except perhaps the jockeys on the Forex wall of death. Did we really join? I never fully had that impression.

I’ve regarded politics as entertainment for a long time now. Without Adolf in charge it’s been possible to do that. Just the way that Vladimir walks into a room gives him away. He’s my size, and it’s stage fright jerky. Trump’s a rogue elephant, seemingly without the wit. He often makes me laugh though.. out loud. Preposterous. What fun it’s going to be to watch this circus. Almost as good as Man City. My only real concern is that I hope he has someone umbilically connected to Estonia.

There’s more: leastways there are copious notes. I’ve been hanging around with this for months now. I haven’t heard May’s speech, but I don’t need to. It’ll be more clucking fudge for the clucking newscasters to cluck to. It’ll be the same till 2019. Hope I make the finish line..

We went shopping today. I should make this public on the same day she made the speech, without knowing what she said. What the hell.. sorry, heck?

I’m trying to keep a diary, and doing a lot of reading, but I’ll try to get back soon.

RH Tuesday 17th January 2017 tbc..

PS. I don’t usually have breakfast, unless it’s free in the hotel and someone’s keen enough to drag me out of bed in time for some prunes.

[yomptepi]

How many of them are running a current account surplus then?

Don't you know then?

The only country is Europe to run a budget surplus last year was Germany , which had a 0.1% surplus.

[northernsky]

How many of them are running a current account surplus then?

Don't you know then?

The only country is Europe to run a budget surplus last year was Germany , which had a 0.1% surplus.

a) not the same thing as bankruptcy;
b) since the UK had a deficit last year of 5.2%, what's your point?

[Jimbo]

His point is the entire political establishment in Europe is rotten and the roof is coming down so it's best to run for your lives and get out - all the way out - now.

[copehead]

His point is the entire political establishment in Europe is rotten and the roof is coming down so it's best to run for your lives and get out - all the way out - now.

If the basis of rottenness is running a budget deficit then practically every country on earth is rotten.

So unless you think the roof is coming in in every country on Earth, and on balance judging by your general screwyness you probably do, the fact that most European countries run a budget deficit says nothing about the economic or political viability of the EU.

Especially as it is underpinned, as pointed out by Mike, by one of the few economies on earth to be running a surplus.

[Jimbo]

your general screwyness.

There is that.

But Mike and you miss the big picture quibbling over which country has a budget deficit.

Of late I am more and more aware of the rot and corruption in what had been liberal, progressive, utopian institutions like the American Democratic party and, the subject here, the EU. The EU is a wonderful idea and its stated goals are laudable, considering especially how well it has worked keeping war from breaking out again. But upon hearing an interview with Yanis Varufakis the former Greek finance minster of how Bonn was fucking Greece with onerous terms, it just reminded me of how fucked up all the cool shit is getting. In musical terms, it is time to kill off the rock dinosaurs and time for punk. The hippie ideals have turned to shit and we need to get back to basics, like doing for your country what needs to be done, ideas stated by Trump like draining the swamp. Yes, he's a buffoon but if he weren't and if he enacts what he has said he'd like to do, he deserves to be followed. May, I think, is following the Trump ideal. Britain could have stuck with the EU, which, let's be honest, is an American puppet, then the EU had to go along with increasingly corrupt neoliberal policies which include the covering up of massive thievery and fraud fronted by Hillary and Bill Clinton and Wall Street. The Foundation is crumbling and soon the roof is going to fall, and with that fall comes the EU. Britain may have done itself a big favor getting out now.

[Diamond Dog]

.... ideas stated by Trump like draining the swamp. Yes, he's a buffoon but if he weren'tand if he enacts what he has said he'd like to do, he deserves to be followed.

But he is. And he won't. He's already disavowed virtually every one of his election pledges.

If the answer to "The Foundation" is Trump, and neo-fascism, I'll stick with "The Foundation", thanks.

[copehead]

your general screwyness.

There is that.

But Mike and you miss the big picture quibbling over which country has a budget deficit.

Of late I am more and more aware of the rot and corruption in what had been liberal, progressive, utopian institutions like the American Democratic party and, the subject here, the EU. The EU is a wonderful idea and its stated goals are laudable, considering especially how well it has worked keeping war from breaking out again. But upon hearing an interview with Yanis Varufakis the former Greek finance minster of how Bonn was fucking Greece with onerous terms, it just reminded me of how fucked up all the cool shit is getting. In musical terms, it is time to kill off the rock dinosaurs and time for punk. The hippie ideals have turned to shit and we need to get back to basics, like doing for your country what needs to be done, ideas stated by Trump like draining the swamp. Yes, he's a buffoon but if he weren't and if he enacts what he has said he'd like to do, he deserves to be followed. May, I think, is following the Trump ideal. Britain could have stuck with the EU, which, let's be honest, is an American puppet, then the EU had to go along with increasingly corrupt neoliberal policies which include the covering up of massive thievery and fraud fronted by Hillary and Bill Clinton and Wall Street. The Foundation is crumbling and soon the roof is going to fall, and with that fall comes the EU. Britain may have done itself a big favor getting out now.

How ever bad you think "The Foundation" is (and although I don't really recognise the term you could proffer the fact that after 2 global conflicts that killed hundreds of millions of people it has kept the peace in the main and especially in the West since the end of WWII) the alternative you seem to be willing to give a go to is neo-fascism.

Which is quite a brave punt for a Jew.

The western body politic may need radical change but the radical change offered by Trump, Farage and their ilk is the further entrenchment of elite wealth and privilege by force and ownership of the media.

You are a complete fool if you think someone like Trump is going to do anything to help the average Joe or make political changes that enhance the lives and prospects of the masses.

He is going to do the opposite.

The reason he can do this in a democracy is because there are too many fools like you who will not look at his actions rather than his words and engage in the "they're all as bad as each other" fallacy.

They aren't as many people are going to find out the hard way in the UK and the US.

[Jimbo]

If the answer to "The Foundation" is Trump, and neo-fascism, I'll stick with "The Foundation", thanks.

Which is a great and sad point! But Hillary lost. They were counting on a win. This is causing an upheaval in the den of thieves that will have repercussions that will effect Europe. The Russia Putin phobia is a deflection, a created distraction, a false flag, a "look over there!" kind of thing. Is Putin good? No. Is Trump good? No. Is Hillary good. No, but she is the loser. Her ship ain't sailing, it is sinking and the smartest rats will jump as fast as they can because there isn't that much room in the lifeboats.

[Jimbo]

.

[Jimbo]

Which is quite a brave punt for a Jew.

Thank you.

What will happen with Trump literally remains to be seen. As does my prediction the EU house will fall. Rather than another war and a repeat of the Holocaust, as you imply will happen, maybe there will be justice.

[Belle Lettre]

For whom?

[...]

Which is quite a brave punt for a Jew.

Thank you.

What will happen with Trump literally remains to be seen. As does my prediction the EU house will fall. Rather than another war and a repeat of the Holocaust, as you imply will happen, maybe there will be justice.

I don't think you need to be the Amazing Kreskin to work out that the EU will sooner rather than later go tits up, J

[Geezee]

Right now I'm in the final stages of preparing my move back to London after two years in Paris. To say I'm conflicted about this is an understatement, and ones mood does not improve after listening to May yesterday. To be moving back to a country where the PM has specifically singled out "global citizens" (of which I am perhaps the definition) as "citizens of nowhere", to be moving back to an area which is generally considered as "cosmopolitan" (horror!) as you can get in London but where friends still regularly report of being told off in public for speaking to their children in French...it's shocking, upsetting. We want to have a second child - do we even dare to have a child born through an NHS that is being systematically destroyed? (separate issue I know, but still) Do we want them born in this country? Yes, I shouldn't tarnish the whole country with the same brush, yes there's plenty I love about the UK. And yes, I am comparatively comfortable middle class, yes I am fortunate and yes I have other options. But fcks sake I lived in this god-forsaken country for 25 years, it is my home and it is where I have roots, friends, family, my work, my life. It affects everything - I barely relate to anyone anymore - "did you vote to throw my family out of this country? did you? did you? are you a Tory who is still in denial over your role in creating this mess? are you a Corbynite whose astonishing hypocrisy also created this mess?" Unfortunately, almost everyone I know falls into one of those two camps - either Corbynites (who conveniently now say "well the vote has been done and there's nothing we can do about it so let's just make the best of it") or Tories (who voted Remain and say that they never wanted this...but fck sake you still voted for the god damn referendum you fkcing idiots). And I hate each and every one of them. Fck all of them. Sorry.

[...]

Right now I'm in the final stages of preparing my move back to London after two years in Paris. To say I'm conflicted about this is an understatement, and ones mood does not improve after listening to May yesterday. To be moving back to a country where the PM has specifically singled out "global citizens" (of which I am perhaps the definition) as "citizens of nowhere", to be moving back to an area which is generally considered as "cosmopolitan" (horror!) as you can get in London but where friends still regularly report of being told off in public for speaking to their children in French...it's shocking, upsetting. We want to have a second child - do we even dare to have a child born through an NHS that is being systematically destroyed? (separate issue I know, but still) Do we want them born in this country? Yes, I shouldn't tarnish the whole country with the same brush, yes there's plenty I love about the UK. And yes, I am comparatively comfortable middle class, yes I am fortunate and yes I have other options. But fcks sake I lived in this god-forsaken country for 25 years, it is my home and it is where I have roots, friends, family, my work, my life. It affects everything - I barely relate to anyone anymore - "did you vote to throw my family out of this country? did you? did you? are you a Tory who is still in denial over your role in creating this mess? are you a Corbynite whose astonishing hypocrisy also created this mess?" Unfortunately, almost everyone I know falls into one of those two camps - either Corbynites (who conveniently now say "well the vote has been done and there's nothing we can do about it so let's just make the best of it") or Tories (who voted Remain and say that they never wanted this...but fck sake you still voted for the god damn referendum you fkcing idiots). And I hate each and every one of them. Fck all of them. Sorry.

Know how you feel, GZ.

I left the UK in 1981, and while it remains a lovely place to spend a holiday, I have no desire to ever live there again.

Am now in the process of re-applying for an Irish passport (had to give the earlier one up in 1981 as I stupidly told the Irish Embassy in London that I had to get a UK passport to obtain a visa to work in Saudi Arabia and they wouldn't let me hold both - should have kept my mouth shut!). While could probably get away with living here on an English passport, don't know what would happen to my Asian wife's residency if anything were to happen to me.

At the end of the day, I don't envy yourself or your family the massive upheaval that will be involved in migrating from a very cosmopolitan lifestyle to a society which revels in its rather more blinkered and less tolerant way of life.

[yomptepi]

Don't you know then?

The only country is Europe to run a budget surplus last year was Germany , which had a 0.1% surplus.

a) not the same thing as bankruptcy;
b) since the UK had a deficit last year of 5.2%, what's your point?

My point is that is that after 40 years, the EU is not providing any sort of economic security, any guarantee of growth, and certainly no guarantees for job security. It has proven to be corrupt at every level. It makes rules, and then only forces certain countries to enforce them, whilst allowing others to openly flaunt , with no attempt to put bring them in line.

I could go on, but I am pro European to my core. If nothing else , we owed it to our children to make it work.

My point is , I suppose, that I do not believe the Eu works. In the end it has become an exclusive club for fat politicians to grow rich at. It makes Lawyers rich, it makes retired politicians rich. It makes those who work for it it rich, and it gives the impression that it is above the law and above judgement. It has become a massive , self perpetuating trough for the European elite. They pay no taxes and they live on expenses. They have not made anyone better off ( except the Germans of course), and they have ruined many of the countries who should never have been allowed to join in the first place. At the moment they are handing out billions of euro to countries who have no intention of abiding by any of the rules, and who will leave as soon as the subsidies run out. There so few net contributors to the market now, that when we stop paying in, there will be little chance of the gargantuan money eating machine continuing for very long. At least not without the kind of changes the UK has been trying to secure for many years.

I think Europe was a brilliant idea. But it has become too large. It should have been capped at eight or maybe ten members, and stayed as a trading block, rather than trying to become a super state. A super state the UK would never have signed up to.

[Geezee]

I agree in broad strokes with what you are saying, although I don't agree with some of your examples or language...clearly there is nothing about "bankruptcy" here - unless you are talking about a moral one - and it is very unhelpful to use that kind of terminology even in the context of a post-factual environment. To me it is also clear that the EU has benefited far more countries than just Germany, but primarily indeed Germany, France and the UK, who have all funded extensive social security systems while benefiting from EU subsidies and investment - but never once sought to balance their budgets according to the rules that they themselves set (ie. the stability pact).

There seem to be a couple of curious expectations of the EU in your assessment - no organisation can be a "guarantee" of growth or economic security, any more than any national government, left or right on the political spectrum, can guarantee this. It's always hard of course to paint an alternate scenario over how individual countries would have fared if they had not joined the EU, but in general the legislation that has been put in place by the EU has been very positive and forward thinking compared to what national governments have achieved. Either way, I would never advocate for or against the EU based on whether it guarantees growth or not - in my mind an organisation like this both increases and decreases the risks at the same time (interconnectdness increases the complexity of the economic spillover effects, which means that economies at once become more vulnerable to risks that they would not have done outside the EU, but also spreads out the risks across larger economies).

For me, there are three key failures of the EU that make me question Sweden's membership in the union (but not the UK's) - firstly, the situation outlined above where the big 3 set different standards that they themselves fail to abide by, and countries like Sweden religiously adhere to at a very significant cost; secondly, the democratic deficit, whereby the parliament's role continues to be undermined, and election turnouts continue to be far too low; and thirdly, the astonishingly paralysed reaction to the refugee crisis, where countries like Sweden paid a huge price because other members like the UK and France failed to take their own responsibilities. These are major issues, and ones that I am deeply disappointed by - but the fact that the UK (which is to a large extent responsible for at least 2 out of the 3 above) has the gall to question the value of a membership that it has been abusing and milking for years is laughable at best.