nathan wrote:After the 2018 election, the primary participation this year, the pandemic, economic bullshit and how Trump has not done one thing to expand his voting base... I don't see how he could possibly win this year. Unless he cheats. But even then, no pollster or pundit knows how large the turnout will be this year. I think it terrifies the Trump campaign that there will be millions of first-time voters this election. MILLIONS. It won't be a Reagan/Mondale landslide but it may look more like the Johnson/Goldwater landslide.
Trump barely won in 2016. The polls were right in 2016 and Trump won in the margin of error. He is not even close right now. A poll of likely voters this week put Biden at 53% nationwide. How can you win when over half want to vote for the other guy?
But sure, I get the pessimism. But holy shit, I have been through enough this year. I am not going to spend the next 3 months shitting rocks. Will Biden have a Dukakis-like slide? Sure, it's possible. But c'mon. Trump is fucking terrible and most in this country know that.
I'm rambling, but I got my unsolicited mail-in ballot request in the mail last week. It comes with a detailed FAQ sheet explaining how safe and easy it is to vote by mail. Most states are doing this. Many saw record participation in their primaries this year because of it! I am optimistic. This country sucks in many ways, but I don't think it wants full-on moron fascism. Many, sure, but not most.
i try not to be too optimistic. it's true i'm a helluvalot more cynical these days. but you say much that means quite a bit.
here is one truth: the only people left who believe one word out of trump's mouth are his hardcore followers. and they are indeed a minority. cheating is the ONLY way he has a shot.
i can't get a mail-in ballot in louisiana. so my ass is gonna be out there to vote.
what's weird here is that many states, including red states, need mail-in voting. who the hell does he honestly think he's gonna depress/suppress with that crap?
i was pleasantly surprised at the huge roll out of votes a few years ago to take back the house. i do think we are gonna see the *attempt* at much more than that. the real probs are the actual blockades and assorted fucquery they've been doin for years. throwin out thousands upon thousands of ballots for bogus reasons. closing down scads of voting places so folk hafta wait in line for fucquin hours to vote. thugs showing up at voting places to intimidate votes. the usual. and more.
but there are soooo many folk who may not have cared about the last election who are beyond sick of this shit.
i said it might happen. it just might.